GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 3/19/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gareji · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merani Martvili are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Gareji are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 64.8 against 63.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Gareji holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gareji

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Gareji has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merani MartviliLLD

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
GarejiWWDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Merani MartviliGareji
33.3Attack71.3
83.3Defence59.3
66.7Form62.0
64.8Power63.9
1.19xG1.70
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