GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 4/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merani Martvili · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merani Martvili are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Aragvi Dusheti are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Merani Martvili hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Merani Martvili holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merani Martvili

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Merani Martvili has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merani MartviliLWDLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Aragvi DushetiLLLWL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Merani MartviliAragvi Dusheti
33.3Attack46.5
83.3Defence53.5
66.7Form43.9
64.8Power49.4
1.42xG1.06
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