Menemen FKvs
Karacabey Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/28/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Menemen FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Menemen FK 0-1 Karacabey Belediyespor
Original prediction
Menemen FK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 01:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 37.0% | 39.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.5% | 27.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.5% | 33.5% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Menemen FK
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Menemen FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80