Menemen FKvs
Güzide Gebzespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Güzide Gebzespor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Menemen FK 0-1 Güzide Gebzespor
Original prediction
Güzide Gebzespor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.1% | 29.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.9% | 27.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.0% | 43.2% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Güzide Gebzespor
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Güzide Gebzespor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00