Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Memmingen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sonthofen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40