GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/8/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Memmingen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Memmingen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Memmingen

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

63.4%

Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MemmingenDLWDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Rain / LechDLLLL

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MemmingenRain / Lech
51.0Attack42.2
78.1Defence47.1
65.6Form43.1
65.9Power46.1
1.86xG0.62
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