GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 7/28/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Memmingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Memmingen are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DLDW), averaging 3.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Nürnberg II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 69.9-point power-rating edge (90.0 v 20.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.9% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Memmingen

Probability

70.9%

Model confidence

70.9%

Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MemmingenDLDW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.75/1.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Nürnberg IILLLLW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MemmingenNürnberg II
88.9Attack22.2
77.8Defence22.2
100.0Form0.0
90.0Power20.2
2.65xG0.89
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