Memmingenvs
Nürnberg II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 7/28/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Memmingen are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DLDW), averaging 3.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Nürnberg II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 69.9-point power-rating edge (90.0 v 20.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.9% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
70.9%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.75/1.25
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60