GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/27/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Memmingen · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Memmingen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nordlingen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Memmingen

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MemmingenWWLDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenLWLWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MemmingenNordlingen
51.0Attack64.7
78.1Defence51.0
65.6Form56.9
65.9Power57.5
1.67xG0.99
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