Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Memmingen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Kottern are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
72.5%
Model confidence
72.5%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80