Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Memmingen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Grünwald are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
76.5%
Model confidence
76.5%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60