Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Memmingen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Memmingen are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Erlbach are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Memmingen hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Memmingen holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Memmingen
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Memmingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20