Melville UnitedvsHibiscus Coast

Melville United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hibiscus Coast are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hibiscus Coast hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Chatham Cup, while Melville United holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.