Melitavs
Pietà Hotspurs
COMPLETEDMalta · Challenge League · 10/17/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Melita 0-2 Pietà Hotspurs
Original prediction
Melita
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.1% | 45.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.0% | 25.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 31.9% | 29.0% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Melita
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Melita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60