Melhusvs
Spjelkavik
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Melhus 0-1 Spjelkavik
Original prediction
Melhus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 61.2% | 70.3% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 19.5% | 15.0% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 4.65 | 19.3% | 14.7% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.5–17%
Predicted outcome
Melhus
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
70.3%
Melhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MelhusLLWLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SpjelkavikLLLWL
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MelhusSpjelkavik
80.0Attack63.3
56.7Defence28.3
58.3Form41.7
63.9Power45.3
4.16xG1.53