Melhusvs
Ranheim II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · 10/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-2 (7%), 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Melhus 3-0 Ranheim II
Original prediction
Melhus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.32 | 27.0% | 61.0% | 34.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 20.8% | 14.6% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 52.2% | 24.4% | -27.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
34.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–27%
- 2.4–17%
- 3.5–27%
Predicted outcome
Melhus
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Melhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20