Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2
Melhus are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Molde II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Melhus hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (68.3 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Melhus holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melhus
Probability
65.7%
Model confidence
7.4%
Melhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 15 · GA 10 · avg 3.00/2.00