3. Division - Girone 23. Division - Girone 2
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Melhus

Melhus

Home
L
20
Full time
Herd

Herd

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
49% confidence
Melhus(49%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Melhus
49%
Draw
25%
Herd
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Melhus
34
Herd
34
Defence
Melhus
27
Herd
91
Momentum
Melhus
0
Herd
100
Danger (xG)
Melhus
0.90
Herd
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Melhus)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Herd)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Melhus)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Herd)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MelhusMelhus
LD
HerdHerd
W

Probability breakdown

49% confidence
Melhus49%
Draw25%
Herd26%

Melhus leads with 49% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Melhus head into this in 3. Division - Girone 2 fixture in mixed form (L), while Herd arrive in mixed form (W). Melhus have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Herd over 1 games.

The model rates Melhus's attack at 34/100 against a 91/100 Herd defence, and Herd's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Melhus backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Melhus have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Herd have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Melhus and Herd in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Melhus to win with 49% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Melhus 4910%, Draw 2510%, Herd 2580%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Melhus

Melhus

L
@ Strindheim
25 Jun 2026
12
D
@ Spjelkavik
14 May 2026
00
Herd

Herd

W
@ Volda
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Melhus vs Herd?

GoalVio's model predicts Melhus to win with 49% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Melhus vs Herd?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Melhus vs Herd?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Melhus vs Herd?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more