GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/23/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Victory II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Melbourne Victory II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Western United II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory II hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Victory II holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Victory II

Probability

74.3%

Model confidence

8.1%

Melbourne Victory II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne Victory IILDLLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Western United IILWWLW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne Victory IIWestern United II
75.4Attack66.7
49.3Defence8.7
58.0Form36.2
61.0Power39.8
4.50xG1.79
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