Melbourne Victory IIvs
Port Melbourne
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melbourne Victory II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Melbourne Victory II 4-0 Port Melbourne
Original prediction
Melbourne Victory II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 79.5% | 86.6% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 7.25 | 12.4% | 8.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 11.18 | 8.1% | 4.7% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.4–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Melbourne Victory II
Probability
86.6%
Model confidence
86.6%
Melbourne Victory II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20