GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 6/1/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Melbourne Victory II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Melbourne Knights are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 69.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Knights

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

10.8%

Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne Victory IIDWWLL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne KnightsWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne Victory IIMelbourne Knights
75.4Attack65.3
49.3Defence72.2
58.0Form70.8
61.0Power69.3
1.42xG1.91
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