GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/30/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Victory II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Melbourne Victory II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Langwarrin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory II hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.3% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Victory II holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Victory II

Probability

73.3%

Model confidence

73.3%

Melbourne Victory II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne Victory IIWLDLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LangwarrinLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne Victory IILangwarrin
75.4Attack55.6
49.3Defence26.4
58.0Form33.3
61.0Power39.4
3.90xG1.49
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