GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Victory II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Melbourne Victory II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bulleen Lions are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 61.0 against 59.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Victory II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Victory II

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Melbourne Victory II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne Victory IILLWLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Bulleen LionsLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne Victory IIBulleen Lions
75.4Attack63.8
49.3Defence56.5
58.0Form56.5
61.0Power59.1
2.17xG1.81
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