GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/21/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northcote City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Melbourne Srbija are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Northcote City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Northcote City hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Northcote City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northcote City

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Northcote City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne SrbijaLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Northcote CityWWWWW

GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Melbourne SrbijaNorthcote City
38.9Attack59.4
65.3Defence65.2
50.0Form66.7
53.4Power64.9
0.86xG1.20
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