GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 4/25/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Victory II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Melbourne Srbija are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Melbourne Victory II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory II hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Victory II holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Victory II

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Melbourne Victory II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne SrbijaLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne Victory IIWWDWL

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Melbourne SrbijaMelbourne Victory II
38.9Attack75.4
65.3Defence49.3
50.0Form58.0
53.4Power61.0
1.27xG1.50
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