GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/27/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Knights · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Melbourne Knights are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Northcote City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Knights

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

13.5%

Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne KnightsLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Northcote CityWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Melbourne KnightsNorthcote City
65.3Attack59.4
72.2Defence65.2
70.8Form66.7
69.3Power64.9
1.52xG0.97
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