Melbourne Knightsvs
Eltham Redbacks FC
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 5/15/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melbourne Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Melbourne Knights are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Eltham Redbacks FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (69.3 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melbourne Knights
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20