Victoria NPL 2Victoria NPL 2
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:37
Melbourne Knights

Melbourne Knights

Home
WW
20
Full time
Brunswick City

Brunswick City

Away
LD
Knights Stadium
GoalVio prediction
63% confidence
Melbourne Knights(63%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Melbourne Knights
Win probability
Melbourne Knights
63%
Draw
23%
Brunswick City
14%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Melbourne Knights
86
Brunswick City
18
Defence
Melbourne Knights
82
Brunswick City
46
Momentum
Melbourne Knights
100
Brunswick City
17
Danger (xG)
Melbourne Knights
2.25
Brunswick City
0.45
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Melbourne Knights)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (Brunswick City)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Melbourne Knights)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Brunswick City)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Melbourne KnightsMelbourne Knights
WWW
Brunswick CityBrunswick City
LDLL

Probability breakdown

63% confidence
Melbourne Knights63%
Draw23%
Brunswick City14%

Melbourne Knights leads with 63% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Melbourne Knights head into this in Victoria NPL 2 fixture at Knights Stadium in decent form (WW), while Brunswick City arrive in mixed form (LD). Melbourne Knights have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Brunswick City over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Melbourne Knights's elite attack (86/100) faces a average Brunswick City defence (46/100), while Brunswick City's attack is up against a watertight Melbourne Knights backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Melbourne Knights's favour.

Melbourne Knights have won all 3 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game at home. Brunswick City have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 4 away matches. They average 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.

Melbourne Knights have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Melbourne Knights to win with 63% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Melbourne Knights 6315%, Draw 2320%, Brunswick City 1365%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Melbourne Knights 1Draws 00 Brunswick City
Avg goals: 2.0
17 Jul 2026
Melbourne Knights
W20
Brunswick City

Recent form

Melbourne Knights

Melbourne Knights

W
vs Brunswick City
17 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Bulleen Lions
3 Jul 2026
31
W
vs Eltham Redbacks FC
15 May 2026
40
Brunswick City

Brunswick City

L
@ Melbourne Knights
17 Jul 2026
02
D
@ Bulleen Lions
13 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Melbourne Victory II
22 Jun 2026
14
L
@ Melbourne Srbija
16 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City?

GoalVio's model predicts Melbourne Knights to win with 63% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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