Melbourne Cityvs
Wellington Phoenix
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australia Cup · 8/27/2023, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melbourne City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Melbourne City are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Wellington Phoenix are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne City hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (54.2 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Australia Cup, while Melbourne City holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Melbourne City
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Melbourne City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00