GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 4/12/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne City II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Melbourne City II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sunshine Georgies are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.9 against 51.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Victoria NPL, while Melbourne City II holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne City II

Probability

45.3%

Model confidence

45.3%

Melbourne City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne City IIDDWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sunshine GeorgiesWLDDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne City IISunshine Georgies
56.5Attack44.4
56.5Defence56.9
43.5Form48.6
50.9Power51.8
1.58xG1.08
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