GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 4/26/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Melbourne City II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hume City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 63.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne City IILDDDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Hume CityLLWDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne City IIHume City
56.5Attack66.7
56.5Defence55.6
43.5Form63.9
50.9Power63.3
1.58xG1.68
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