GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/5/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Melbourne City II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Eastern Lions are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.4 against 50.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne City II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne City II

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Melbourne City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Melbourne City IILW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Eastern LionsWL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Melbourne City IIEastern Lions
66.7Attack47.4
30.8Defence48.7
46.2Form50.0
48.4Power50.2
2.24xG1.86
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