Melakavs
Negeri Sembilan
COMPLETEDMalaysia · Super League · 8/30/2026, 12:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Melaka 2-1 Negeri Sembilan
Original prediction
Melaka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.80 | 23.8% | 37.4% | 13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.0% | 26.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 51.2% | 36.6% | -14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Melaka
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Melaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MelakaLDLDL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Negeri SembilanWDDDD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MelakaNegeri Sembilan
0.0Attack42.3
0.0Defence37.2
0.0Form34.6
7.0Power39.5
1.90xG1.46