Melakavs
Kuala Lumpur FA
COMPLETEDMalaysia · Super League · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Melaka 3-2 Kuala Lumpur FA
Original prediction
Melaka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 32.9% | 45.1% | 12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.6% | 24.3% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 40.6% | 30.6% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Melaka
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Melaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MelakaLLLLW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kuala Lumpur FALDLDW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MelakaKuala Lumpur FA
41.7Attack26.7
25.0Defence13.3
25.0Form40.0
33.8Power30.1
2.17xG1.39