Meizhou Kejiavs
Wuxi Wugou
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/10/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wuxi Wugou · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Meizhou Kejia 0-3 Wuxi Wugou
Original prediction
Wuxi Wugou
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.5% | 25.2% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.5% | 26.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.1% | 48.7% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Wuxi Wugou
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Wuxi Wugou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20