GGOALVIO

China · League One · 5/3/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen Juniors · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Meizhou Kejia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shenzhen Juniors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen Juniors hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (39.1 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the League One, while Shenzhen Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen Juniors

Probability

60.7%

Model confidence

11.9%

Shenzhen Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Meizhou KejiaLLWWL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Shenzhen JuniorsLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Meizhou KejiaShenzhen Juniors
35.2Attack51.9
37.0Defence61.1
37.0Form59.3
39.1Power57.8
0.83xG1.88
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