Meizhou Kejiavs
Nantong Zhiyun
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nantong Zhiyun · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Meizhou Kejia 0-1 Nantong Zhiyun, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Meizhou Kejia 0-1 Nantong Zhiyun
Original prediction
Nantong Zhiyun
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.22 | 14.5% | 10.4% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.6% | 20.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.9% | 69.3% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Projected Score
Meizhou Kejia 0–1 Nantong Zhiyun
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Nantong Zhiyun
Probability
69.3%
Model confidence
69.3%
Nantong Zhiyun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40