Meizhou Kejiavs
Nanjing City
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/13/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nanjing City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Meizhou Kejia 2-1 Nanjing City
Original prediction
Nanjing City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.1% | 31.2% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.8% | 28.0% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.1% | 40.8% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Nanjing City
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Nanjing City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80