Meizhou Kejiavs
Hebei Kungfu
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 9/19/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hebei Kungfu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Meizhou Kejia 0-0 Hebei Kungfu, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Meizhou Kejia 1-3 Hebei Kungfu
Original prediction
Hebei Kungfu
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.7% | 27.6% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.5% | 29.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 40.8% | 43.1% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Meizhou Kejia 0–0 Hebei Kungfu
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Hebei Kungfu
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Hebei Kungfu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40