Mega Sportvs
Tanta SC
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 10/22/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tanta SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mega Sport 0-0 Tanta SC, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mega Sport 2-2 Tanta SC
Original prediction
Tanta SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 10:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 32.2% | 25.3% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.6% | 33.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.3% | 41.2% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Projected Score
Mega Sport 0–0 Tanta SC
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Tanta SC
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Tanta SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mega SportLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tanta SCDLLDW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mega SportTanta SC
18.5Attack18.5
40.7Defence66.7
7.4Form33.3
25.5Power42.5
0.52xG0.83