Mega Sportvs
Ismaily SC
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 9/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mega Sport · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mega Sport 0-0 Ismaily SC, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mega Sport 2-3 Ismaily SC
Original prediction
Mega Sport
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 31.9% | 39.0% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.70 | 33.5% | 31.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.6% | 29.7% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Projected Score
Mega Sport 0–0 Ismaily SC
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Mega Sport
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Mega Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mega SportLLLDD
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ismaily SCLDDLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Mega SportIsmaily SC
20.0Attack26.7
60.0Defence40.0
13.3Form13.3
34.4Power30.2
1.06xG0.76