Mega Sportvs
Haras El Hodood
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 9/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haras El Hodood · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mega Sport 0-0 Haras El Hodood, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mega Sport 1-2 Haras El Hodood
Original prediction
Haras El Hodood
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.81 | 23.8% | 29.2% | 5.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.6% | 32.2% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.6% | 38.5% | -6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
Mega Sport 0–0 Haras El Hodood
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Haras El Hodood
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Haras El Hodood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.33/0.67
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60