Mega Sportvs
Dayrout
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 10/8/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mega Sport · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mega Sport 0-0 Dayrout, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mega Sport 0-1 Dayrout
Original prediction
Mega Sport
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.2% | 45.7% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.9% | 29.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 22.9% | 24.9% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Projected Score
Mega Sport 0–0 Dayrout
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Mega Sport
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Mega Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mega SportLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DayroutDDLLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Mega SportDayrout
23.8Attack9.5
47.6Defence28.6
9.5Form9.5
30.4Power20.6
1.17xG0.76