Medeamavs
Heart of Lions
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Medeama · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Medeama 1-0 Heart of Lions, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Medeama 3-1 Heart of Lions
Original prediction
Medeama
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.7% | 51.3% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.0% | 27.6% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 7.98 | 11.3% | 21.1% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Projected Score
Medeama 1–0 Heart of Lions
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Medeama
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Medeama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MedeamaWWWDD
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Heart of LionsWWDLD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MedeamaHeart of Lions
60.0Attack40.0
73.3Defence66.7
73.3Form53.3
70.5Power56.5
1.27xG0.73