Medeamavs
Basake Holy Stars
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Medeama · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Medeama 0-0 Basake Holy Stars, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Medeama 4-1 Basake Holy Stars
Original prediction
Medeama
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.6% | 41.8% | -19.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.3% | 30.0% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 7.43 | 12.1% | 28.2% | 16.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.7 pts
Projected Score
Medeama 0–0 Basake Holy Stars
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Medeama
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Medeama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MedeamaDDWLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Basake Holy StarsWLWDL
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MedeamaBasake Holy Stars
50.0Attack22.2
50.0Defence88.9
33.3Form66.7
48.3Power62.6
0.95xG0.90