MEAP Nisouvs
Ethnikos Achna
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 10/10/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ethnikos Achna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
MEAP Nisou 0-5 Ethnikos Achna
Original prediction
Ethnikos Achna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.60 | 19.8% | 26.9% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.3% | 27.3% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 1.57 | 57.9% | 45.9% | -12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Ethnikos Achna
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Ethnikos Achna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20