Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MC Saida · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MC Saida 0-0 ASM Oran, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
MC Saida 1-0 ASM Oran
Original prediction
MC Saida
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 20:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.6% | 38.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.80 | 32.0% | 32.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.5% | 29.1% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Projected Score
MC Saida 0–0 ASM Oran
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
MC Saida
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
MC Saida has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MC SaidaW
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
ASM OranW
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00
BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
MC SaidaASM Oran
33.3Attack50.0
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
80.3Power50.0
1.03xG0.70