Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MC Oran · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: MC Oran 0-0 Khenchela, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
MC Oran 1-0 Khenchela
Original prediction
MC Oran
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 55.9% | 44.6% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.0% | 31.2% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 5.59 | 16.1% | 24.3% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.3 pts
Projected Score
MC Oran 0–0 Khenchela
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
MC Oran
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
MC Oran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MC OranWDWWW
GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 1.40/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
KhenchelaWLDDW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
MC OranKhenchela
33.3Attack25.0
100.0Defence83.3
83.3Form41.7
75.3Power51.6
0.94xG0.63