Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MC Oran · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
MC Oran 0-0 ES Setif
Original prediction
MC Oran
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.6% | 42.3% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.8% | 30.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.6% | 27.7% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
MC Oran
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
MC Oran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MC OranWWWDL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ES SetifWLLWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MC OranES Setif
50.0Attack55.6
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
86.5Power49.2
1.28xG0.89