GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 10/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MC Alger · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: MC Alger 1-0 Témouchent, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

MC Alger 1-0 Témouchent

Original prediction

MC Alger

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.1976.1%51.8%-24.4 pts
Draw5.1117.6%26.8%9.2 pts
Away14.486.2%21.4%15.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-24.4 pts

Projected Score

MC Alger 1–0 Témouchent

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

MC Alger

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

51.8%

MC Alger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MC AlgerWLWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TémouchentWLDWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
MC AlgerTémouchent
66.7Attack22.2
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form44.4
88.7Power47.5
1.30xG0.72
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