Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MC Alger · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
MC Alger are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while MC Oran are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MC Alger hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.6% in the Ligue 1, while MC Alger holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MC Alger
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
22.6%
MC Alger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20