Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MC Alger · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.7% | 43.2% | -17.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 28.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 6.71 | 13.4% | 27.9% | 14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
MC Alger
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
MC Alger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MC AlgerWLWDW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MC OranWWWDL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MC AlgerMC Oran
66.7Attack50.0
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power86.5
1.16xG1.00